米国がイランと手打ち？ イラン産石油を買う？
西側外交筋がレバノンThe Daily Starに語った話。
米軍が撤退した2012年以降のイラクをどうするかが、米国・イラン協議の出発点。米国は、地域における重要な戦略的利益を守るため、イランと手を打つ用意があるという。特に、米国がイラン産原油を買う提案をする。
（制裁強化して困ったイランと交渉するという話と、日本、欧州、韓国から取り上げたイラン産原油を、単純に米国が買い上げるという話では、随分差がある）前の記事、その2
一方バチカンは、様々な地位の僧侶をシリアに派遣し、アサド大統領は任期一杯務めるが、次期大統領選には出馬せず、しかし、彼が好きな候補者を支持するという解決案が受け入れ可能か探っている。
（選挙して票を集められない集団の主張を通して、アサド大統領を退陣させる理由がわからない。アサドにも職業選択の自由がある。票が集まらない政治家を選挙で排除し、当選した政治家だけで議論を進めるのが民主主義の手続きでしょう。）
Vatican in bid to resolve Syria crisis as U.S. prepares to strike deal with Iran
December 17, 2011 02:44 AM
By Antoine Ghattas Saab
The Daily Star
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Politics/2011/Dec-17/157153-vatican-in-bid-to-resolve-syria-crisis-as-us-prepares-to-strike-deal-with-iran.ashx
The Vatican is engaged in an attempt to resolve the nine-month-old crisis in Syria, while the United States is preparing to strike a deal with Iran to secure its vital interests in the region following its withdrawal from Iraq, according to Western diplomatic sources.
“The U.S. is preparing to conclude a deal with Iran through which it can secure its vital and strategic interests in the region, especially with regard to supplying it with oil by the Iranian side,” a Western envoy told The Daily Star.
“This deal carries with it an agreement on a host of sensitive points that are a bone of contention between the two sides. The official announcement on ending the mission of U.S. forces in Iraq is expected to be a starting point for a scenario to redraw the Middle East map in order to cope with the historic structural changes in a number of Arab countries,” he said.
Western sources say attention might be focused early in 2012 on Iraq, which will witness internal sectarian and confessional struggles in preparation for its partitioning into three mini-states: a Sunni, a Shiite and a Kurdish mini-state.
This escalatory trend is expected to set off a spate of bombings targeting religious leaders or mosques of various sects in an attempt to incite strife and facilitate the process of dismembering Iraq, the sources said.
They said this drawn-up plan might give the Americans a pretext to prove to the world that Iraq cannot enjoy stability without a U.S. military presence.
In a divided Iraq, Iran would maintain control over a Shiite mini-state that would serve as an ideological extension of the Islamic Republic, although the seminary in Najaf could remain outside this entity, as it does not embrace Tehran’s concept of clerical rule. Such a break-up is likely to arouse the ire of Turkey, which does not enjoy warm ties with Iran over the situation in Iraq.
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki recently said in Washington that the real danger facing his country lies in Turkish interference, warning that the Turkish model does not suit the Arab world. This stance reflects a tacit Turkish-Iranian struggle that could soon erupt, probably from Syria, where it is possible to incite Kurdish communities on the Syrian-Turkish border. As this regional tug-of-war plays itself out, a significant role will be played by the Vatican to resolve the Syrian crisis, according to the Western ambassador.
On behalf of the Holy See, clergymen of various ranks have been traveling to Syria to sound out the views of officials in Damascus about the possibility of a solution calling for Syrian President Bashar Assad to stay in power for a full year until presidential elections are held, in which Assad promises not to run but can support any candidate loyal to him, the ambassador said.
Meanwhile, the turbulence in the region on various fronts requires internal Lebanese moves to close ranks and unify the government’s ranks to ward off dangers coming from beyond the border.
According to a senior government source, efforts will be intensified in the next stage to energize the Cabinet’s performance and take decisions on some pressing political and socio-economic issues.
A round of meetings is expected to be held to clear the air among allies within the Cabinet, the source said. The source referred to intensive contacts to be held between Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun to heal the rift between the two sides after Labor Minister Charbel Nahhas’ wage hike plan was “foiled” by the Cabinet.
Energy Minister Gibran Bassil is overseeing a large part of these consultations, which are being closely followed up by Health Minister Ali Hasan Khalil, a political adviser to Speaker Nabih Berri, and Hussein Khalil, a political aide to Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah.
米軍が撤退した2012年以降のイラクをどうするかが、米国・イラン協議の出発点。米国は、地域における重要な戦略的利益を守るため、イランと手を打つ用意があるという。特に、米国がイラン産原油を買う提案をする。
（制裁強化して困ったイランと交渉するという話と、日本、欧州、韓国から取り上げたイラン産原油を、単純に米国が買い上げるという話では、随分差がある）前の記事、その2
一方バチカンは、様々な地位の僧侶をシリアに派遣し、アサド大統領は任期一杯務めるが、次期大統領選には出馬せず、しかし、彼が好きな候補者を支持するという解決案が受け入れ可能か探っている。
（選挙して票を集められない集団の主張を通して、アサド大統領を退陣させる理由がわからない。アサドにも職業選択の自由がある。票が集まらない政治家を選挙で排除し、当選した政治家だけで議論を進めるのが民主主義の手続きでしょう。）
Vatican in bid to resolve Syria crisis as U.S. prepares to strike deal with Iran
December 17, 2011 02:44 AM
By Antoine Ghattas Saab
The Daily Star
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Politics/2011/Dec-17/157153-vatican-in-bid-to-resolve-syria-crisis-as-us-prepares-to-strike-deal-with-iran.ashx
The Vatican is engaged in an attempt to resolve the nine-month-old crisis in Syria, while the United States is preparing to strike a deal with Iran to secure its vital interests in the region following its withdrawal from Iraq, according to Western diplomatic sources.
“The U.S. is preparing to conclude a deal with Iran through which it can secure its vital and strategic interests in the region, especially with regard to supplying it with oil by the Iranian side,” a Western envoy told The Daily Star.
“This deal carries with it an agreement on a host of sensitive points that are a bone of contention between the two sides. The official announcement on ending the mission of U.S. forces in Iraq is expected to be a starting point for a scenario to redraw the Middle East map in order to cope with the historic structural changes in a number of Arab countries,” he said.
Western sources say attention might be focused early in 2012 on Iraq, which will witness internal sectarian and confessional struggles in preparation for its partitioning into three mini-states: a Sunni, a Shiite and a Kurdish mini-state.
This escalatory trend is expected to set off a spate of bombings targeting religious leaders or mosques of various sects in an attempt to incite strife and facilitate the process of dismembering Iraq, the sources said.
They said this drawn-up plan might give the Americans a pretext to prove to the world that Iraq cannot enjoy stability without a U.S. military presence.
In a divided Iraq, Iran would maintain control over a Shiite mini-state that would serve as an ideological extension of the Islamic Republic, although the seminary in Najaf could remain outside this entity, as it does not embrace Tehran’s concept of clerical rule. Such a break-up is likely to arouse the ire of Turkey, which does not enjoy warm ties with Iran over the situation in Iraq.
Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki recently said in Washington that the real danger facing his country lies in Turkish interference, warning that the Turkish model does not suit the Arab world. This stance reflects a tacit Turkish-Iranian struggle that could soon erupt, probably from Syria, where it is possible to incite Kurdish communities on the Syrian-Turkish border. As this regional tug-of-war plays itself out, a significant role will be played by the Vatican to resolve the Syrian crisis, according to the Western ambassador.
On behalf of the Holy See, clergymen of various ranks have been traveling to Syria to sound out the views of officials in Damascus about the possibility of a solution calling for Syrian President Bashar Assad to stay in power for a full year until presidential elections are held, in which Assad promises not to run but can support any candidate loyal to him, the ambassador said.
Meanwhile, the turbulence in the region on various fronts requires internal Lebanese moves to close ranks and unify the government’s ranks to ward off dangers coming from beyond the border.
According to a senior government source, efforts will be intensified in the next stage to energize the Cabinet’s performance and take decisions on some pressing political and socio-economic issues.
A round of meetings is expected to be held to clear the air among allies within the Cabinet, the source said. The source referred to intensive contacts to be held between Prime Minister Najib Mikati and Free Patriotic Movement leader Michel Aoun to heal the rift between the two sides after Labor Minister Charbel Nahhas’ wage hike plan was “foiled” by the Cabinet.
Energy Minister Gibran Bassil is overseeing a large part of these consultations, which are being closely followed up by Health Minister Ali Hasan Khalil, a political adviser to Speaker Nabih Berri, and Hussein Khalil, a political aide to Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hasan Nasrallah.
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