ロシア専門家:シリア国民の大半は大統領とバアス党体制を支持している

ロシア軍士官学校の中東専門家の話。

本日アレッポで開かれた大集会で示されたように、大半のシリア人は、アサド大統領とバアス党の体制を支持している。

離反兵については、個別の離反はあるものの、近い将来に大規模な分離・反乱が発生するとは思わない。

ロシアが現在、政府といくつかの反体制派と接触していることは事実だが、ロシアが仲介しているということを必ずしも意味しない。



Syrian crisis .. Solution between the hopes and the realities of exacerbations
http://arabic.rt.com/news_all_news/news/569477
19.10.2011 22:52

Yaroslav Volkov, an expert on the Middle East at the Academy of the Russian military said, in an interview with "Russia Today", that it is early to talk about a decline in the Syrian crisis. Volkov said that there is still an opportunity to get out of the country's predicament.

The following is the text of the interview with Yaroslav Volkov:

Q: The city of Aleppo, a rally in support of the Syrian regime and in support of the reforms announced recently, do you read the change at the level of the Syrian crisis?

A: I would like to point out that Syria has witnessed by demonstrations in support of the regime of Bashar al-Assad. The latter of which is held by some countries' attempts to pass a resolution by the UN Security Council condemns one party to the dispute is the ruling regime. Of course, each country circumstances, but I think that most Syrians support one way or another regime of Bashar al-Assad and the ruling Baath Party. Came the recent demonstrations of this new evidence. The opposition continuing its its demonstrations, and of course cannot talk about a serious turning point in the evolution of the crisis based on the demonstration in support of the system.

Q: What is the impact of the divides that we are witnessing now in the Syrian army in the balance of power between the Authority and the Syrian opposition?

A: Unlike other Arab armies, the Syrian army still maintains, like security and police forces for loyalty to the ruling regime. The reason for this is the work of the Baath Arab Socialist Party in the armed forces, in addition to the existence of political bodies in the army run by the political administration of the Syrian armed forces. I think that single cases of fleeing members of the military with the opposition as possible, each person may be motivated to stand its own against the established authority. But I do not expect enrollment of large numbers of soldiers or units with full military opposition in the near future, because that would mean civil war.

Q: There are diplomatic efforts being made by many parties, Russia mediator of the Port in order to launch the dialogue between the opposition and power, do you think that these efforts will succeed in attempts to end the crisis in Syria?

A: What contributes to the solution of the crisis is useful. I would not be talking about that Russia is currently the role of mediator between the opposition and the ruling regime. As for Russia's use of the veto in the UN Security Council to block a resolution condemning the Syrian regime from one side, it shows that Russia has taken a stand in favor of dialogue between the government and the opposition. As Russian President Dmitry Medvedev to resolve the matter back to the people of Syria itself. It is true that Russia is maintaining contacts with power and with some representatives of the opposition alike, but that does not mean that it is mediating between the parties, although having such a role is possible.

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